“Those who have knowledge don’t predict. Those who predict don’t have knowledge.” Lao Tzu, Chinese philosopher, 6th century BC

PAYPAL

Wednesday, 15 October 2014

15 Oct 2014 Is It The Bottom?

I had anticipated a rally before a drop to our low of 1820 level, but prices accelerated downward.  This is a great example of why we cannot trade against the trend.  The SPX missed our lower target again by only a few pts. at 1820.66.  But this run might not be over unless it is labelled wave-C (red). Which means we are headed to new highs.

The clue now lies in the next pattern that develops...

1 - Is it a 3 wave or 5 wave pattern?

2 - Is is making a higher low?

3 - Has the ST turned UP?

These 3 clues should tell us whether a CIT has occurred.  For now though it is not the case.

MT: DOWN
ST: DOWN
PA: DOWN

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