“Those who have knowledge don’t predict. Those who predict don’t have knowledge.” Lao Tzu, Chinese philosopher, 6th century BC

PAYPAL

Thursday 20 June 2013

20 Jun 2013

Yesterdays warning of the Gold, Silver, Copper market was scary accurate even though they did not move much in yesterdays FED SPEAK.  Today the metals that mattered got attacked. 

With the June 6th low being broken we can now rule out any 1-2 combination in EW patterns to the upside and with that a wedge count that possibly count as an abcde.  Rather the ABC up for a ii or B wave blue is still in play.  The market today moved impulsively and an A=C scenario would find prices stop at the 1570 target.  But one can count a full 5 wave down from the highs made on June 18 so a rally should pull prices back.  Only then will things become interesting due to the fact that it could be a 3rd of 3rd down or a C wave of C down.  As I write this post, Zero Hedge posted an article on Circuit Breakers.  Looks like markets might be jittery.  The gap today might need to be covered on the SPX chart so a rally to the range of 1630 should fix that.

Therefore:

Bulls need to see a 5wave move up and Bears need to see 3 wave move up.
Mid-Term: Down
Short-Term: Down

Indicators are agreeing with each other to the downside so a continued short is recommended.

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