“Those who have knowledge don’t predict. Those who predict don’t have knowledge.” Lao Tzu, Chinese philosopher, 6th century BC

PAYPAL

Thursday 23 July 2015

23 Jul 2015 - Hourly Pos. Divergence

The ES hourly chart has put in a Positive Divergence.  This does not mean that higher highs are expected, but we should look for a possible rally.  The fact that the SPX is also showing this in its intra-day chart shows a strong bias for an upside for Friday. Couple these divergences with a 60min support of the 200MA which is also the 75 daily MA and you have yourself a good support.

All bets are off if the signals in the intra-day chart pushes back below the OS range as this usually becomes risky for more accelerated downside move.

I also failed to note above that the ST has turned down.. So I treat this as a scenario of Downside trend with a unconfirmed rally (or corrective rally).  This round belongs to the bears in my opinion.

MT: UP
ST: DOWN
PA: NA

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