“Those who have knowledge don’t predict. Those who predict don’t have knowledge.” Lao Tzu, Chinese philosopher, 6th century BC

PAYPAL

Friday 30 August 2013

POSSIBLE BULLISH / BEARISH COUNT...

This count in Purple gives us a possibility of a Bullish Count that could lead to higher highs.  This count will be voided if prices starts to move higher by next week and surpasses the Blue 4 labelled near the 1670 range.  The Blue A and B label is also a bullish count but it will need to process much longer than the Purple ABC. 

The Blue count is below for the longer term bullish count:

Of course you know the Bearish Count which we will label 5 waves in blue for now...
Or a super Bearish 1-2, i-ii, (i)-(ii)...

4 comments:

  1. Hi MP.

    I am no expert on EW but shouldn't wave 2 be the first high pull-back, because it is higher? And wave 3 be the lower low because my understanding is that a wave cannot go lower than the previous third wave low?

    Good site too by the way.

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  2. Which of the charts are you referring to so that I may clarify it for you.

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  3. Hi Chris,
    Typically the wave 2 would be higher than a wave three if it is in a bearish configuration. The first chart illustrates if the EW structures were to be a subwave smaller as it went down. Usually mistaken for either a 5 wave move but really its a series of 1-2 1-2s etc. The first chart I illustrated shows possibilities in ?'s but what I am showing also are 3 wave possibilities that could have formed as a bigger ABC pattern down. Now we know that the patterns have not fully formed or is not yet in hindsight so this just shows the vulnerability of EW as a trading tool. At best, EW allows you to view options, but not as a way to trade. the indicator still shows us a better way of trading as there is not guessing.

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